Irene Aldana vs Raquel Pennington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record16-9-0
BantamweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
68"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Lobo Gym MMATeamAltitude MMA
What's at stake
Raquel Pennington is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Irene Aldana carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1665
If they lose-15→ 1633
If they win+15→ 1690
If they lose-17→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Irene AldanaRaquel Pennington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raquel Pennington60%
Irene Aldana 40%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Raquel Pennington a 60% favorite over Irene Aldana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Raquel Pennington holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1648, a 27-point edge.
Irene Aldana finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Raquel Pennington 31%.
Irene Aldana and Raquel Pennington share 3 common opponents: Macy Chiasson, Holly Holm and Ketlen Vieira.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.