Combat Edge Intelligence

Irene Aldana vs Talita Bernardo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record11-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'4"
68"Reach40,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Lobo Gym MMATeamImperio Fight

What's at stake

Irene Aldana is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Talita Bernardo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Irene AldanaNow 1648
If they win+14→ 1662
If they lose-18→ 1630
Talita BernardoNow 1613
If they win+18→ 1631
If they lose-14→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.19
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
40%
Strike accuracy
42%
6.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.04
56%
Strike defense
56%
0.15
Takedown avg.
1.62
50%
Takedown accuracy
22%
78%
Takedown defense
29%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Irene AldanaTalita Bernardo
1600165020232024

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (20%)
Submission
7 (64%)
4 (27%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Irene Aldana59%
Talita Bernardo 41%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Irene Aldana a 59% favorite over Talita Bernardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Irene Aldana holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1613, a 35-point edge.

Irene Aldana finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Talita Bernardo 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.