Irene Aldana vs Tonya Evinger
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record19-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
68"Reach39,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Lobo Gym MMATeamW4R Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Irene AldanaTonya Evinger
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Irene Aldana51%
Tonya Evinger 49%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Irene Aldana a 51% favorite over Tonya Evinger in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tonya Evinger's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1656), separated by just 8 points.
Tonya Evinger enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Irene Aldana finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tonya Evinger 79%.
Irene Aldana and Tonya Evinger share 1 common opponent: Yana Santos.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.