Combat Edge Intelligence

Irina Alekseeva vs Jessamyn Duke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-4-0Record3-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'11"
67"Reach73,0"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Raty TeamTeamUWF USA

What's at stake

Irina Alekseeva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Jessamyn Duke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Irina AlekseevaNow 1526
If they win+20→ 1546
If they lose-28→ 1498
Jessamyn DukeNow 1462
If they win+28→ 1490
If they lose-20→ 1442

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.01
Sig. strikes / min
4.83
39%
Strike accuracy
53%
5.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.43
46%
Strike defense
57%
0.47
Takedown avg.
1.27
20%
Takedown accuracy
36%
67%
Takedown defense
50%
0.47
Submission avg.
1.90

Trajectory

Irina AlekseevaJessamyn Duke
1450150015501600201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
2 (40%)
Submission
1 (33%)
2 (40%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Irina Alekseeva68%
Jessamyn Duke 32%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Irina Alekseeva a 68% favorite over Jessamyn Duke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Irina Alekseeva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1526 to 1462, a 64-point edge.

Irina Alekseeva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jessamyn Duke enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Irina Alekseeva finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Jessamyn Duke 67%.

Jessamyn Duke carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.