Combat Edge Intelligence

Irina Alekseeva vs Kelly Faszholz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-4-0Record4-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
67"Reach40,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Raty TeamTeamNor-Cal Fighting Alliance

What's at stake

Kelly Faszholz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Irina Alekseeva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Irina AlekseevaNow 1526
If they win+25→ 1551
If they lose-23→ 1503
Kelly FaszholzNow 1542
If they win+23→ 1565
If they lose-25→ 1517

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.01
Sig. strikes / min
4.01
39%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.61
46%
Strike defense
53%
0.47
Takedown avg.
0
20%
Takedown accuracy
0%
67%
Takedown defense
44%
0.47
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Irina AlekseevaKelly Faszholz
1500155016002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (40%)
Submission
3 (75%)
2 (40%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Irina Alekseeva and Kelly Faszholz within a point of even.

Kelly Faszholz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1542 to 1526, a 16-point edge.

Irina Alekseeva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Irina Alekseeva finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Kelly Faszholz 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.