Irina Alekseeva vs Kelly McGill-Velasco
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-4-0Record2-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Raty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamLast Stand Fight Team
What's at stake
Irina Alekseeva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Kelly McGill-Velasco carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1548
If they lose-26→ 1500
If they win+26→ 1526
If they lose-22→ 1478
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Irina AlekseevaKelly McGill-Velasco
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kelly McGill-Velasco53%
Irina Alekseeva 47%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Kelly McGill-Velasco a 53% favorite over Irina Alekseeva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Irina Alekseeva's way (46%).
Irina Alekseeva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1526 to 1500, a 26-point edge.
Irina Alekseeva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kelly McGill-Velasco enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Irina Alekseeva finishes 60% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.