Combat Edge Intelligence

Irina Alekseeva vs Vanessa Melo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Vanessa Melo
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Vanessa Melo

“Miss Simpatia”

11-12-0LightweightSFT

1480Average

Tale of the tape

5-4-0Record11-12-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'5"
67"Reach65,0"
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty TeamTeamBabuino Gold Team

What's at stake

Irina Alekseeva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Vanessa Melo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Irina AlekseevaNow 1526
If they win+21→ 1547
If they lose-27→ 1499
Vanessa MeloNow 1480
If they win+18→ 1498
If they lose-14→ 1466

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.01
Sig. strikes / min
3.48
39%
Strike accuracy
31%
5.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.13
46%
Strike defense
59%
0.47
Takedown avg.
0
20%
Takedown accuracy
0%
67%
Takedown defense
71%
0.47
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Irina AlekseevaVanessa Melo
150015501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (40%)
Submission
2 (18%)
2 (40%)
Decision
9 (82%)

Combat Edge model read

Irina Alekseeva66%
Vanessa Melo 34%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Irina Alekseeva a 66% favorite over Vanessa Melo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Irina Alekseeva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1526 to 1480, a 46-point edge.

Irina Alekseeva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Vanessa Melo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Irina Alekseeva finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Vanessa Melo 18%.

Irina Alekseeva carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.