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Combat Edge Intelligence

Irwin Rivera vs Neto Lopes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Irwin Rivera
us

Irwin Rivera

“The Beast”

12-7-0BantamweightEFC

1585Solid

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"HeightTBD
36,0"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Sanford MMATeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Irwin RiveraNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Neto LopesNow 1585
If they win+24→ 1609
If they lose-24→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
44%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
58%
Strike defense
Not available
1
Takedown avg.
Not available
17%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
70%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Irwin RiveraNeto Lopes
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
1 (8%)
Submission
1 (20%)
5 (42%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Irwin Rivera51%
Neto Lopes 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Irwin Rivera a 51% favorite over Neto Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1585), separated by just 0 points.

Irwin Rivera finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Neto Lopes 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.