Irwin Rivera vs Neto Lopes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"HeightTBD
36,0"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Sanford MMATeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Irwin RiveraNeto Lopes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neto Lopes51%
Irwin Rivera 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Neto Lopes a 51% favorite over Irwin Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Irwin Rivera's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1586), separated by just 0 points.
Irwin Rivera finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Neto Lopes 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.