Combat Edge Intelligence

Isaac Blais vs Joshua Weems

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record17-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'8"
71"Reach69"
138 lbsWeight154 lbs
Patenaude Martial ArtsTeamBlack Sails MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Isaac BlaisNow 1600
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576
Joshua WeemsNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.25
TBD
Strike accuracy
65%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.34
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.77
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Isaac BlaisJoshua Weems
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
3 (75%)
Submission
9 (53%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Isaac Blais and Joshua Weems within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.

Isaac Blais enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Isaac Blais finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Weems 65%.

Isaac Blais carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.