Isaac Dulgarian vs Ryan Cafaro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record15-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Factory XTeamNick Catone MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1656
If they lose-24→ 1608
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1561 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1489 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Isaac DulgarianRyan Cafaro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Isaac Dulgarian61%
Ryan Cafaro 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Isaac Dulgarian a 61% favorite over Ryan Cafaro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1630), separated by just 2 points.
Ryan Cafaro enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Isaac Dulgarian finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Cafaro 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.