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Combat Edge Intelligence

Isaac Moreno vs Mike Swick

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Swick
us

Mike Swick

“Quick”

15-6-0WelterweightUFC

1698Good

Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record15-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
73"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Isaac MorenoNow 1699
If they win+24→ 1723
If they lose-24→ 1675
Mike SwickNow 1698
If they win+16→ 1714
If they lose-16→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.36
Not available
Strike accuracy
38%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.29
Not available
Strike defense
54%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.06
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
62%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.64

Trajectory

Isaac MorenoMike Swick
16501700175020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (20%)
4 (44%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Isaac Moreno55%
Mike Swick 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Isaac Moreno a 55% favorite over Mike Swick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1699 vs 1698), separated by just 1 points.

Isaac Moreno enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Mike Swick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Isaac Moreno finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Mike Swick 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.