Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record11-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
73"Reach74"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Isaac Moreno is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Reginaldo Junior carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1720
If they lose-27→ 1672
If they win+18→ 1675
If they lose-14→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Isaac MorenoReginaldo Junior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Isaac Moreno60%
Reginaldo Junior 40%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Isaac Moreno a 60% favorite over Reginaldo Junior in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Isaac Moreno holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1657, a 42-point edge.
Isaac Moreno enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Isaac Moreno finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Reginaldo Junior 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.