Combat Edge Intelligence

Isaac Shelton vs Ryan Roberts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Roberts
us

Ryan Roberts

“Are You Ready?”

21-12-1Featherweight

1530Average

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record21-12-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Art of War MMATeamDisorderly Conduct

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Isaac SheltonNow 1531
If they win+16→ 1547
If they lose-16→ 1515
Ryan RobertsNow 1530
If they win+24→ 1554
If they lose-24→ 1506

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
0%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
22.50
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Isaac SheltonRyan Roberts
1500155020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
9 (43%)
1 (17%)
Submission
2 (10%)
3 (50%)
Decision
10 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Roberts60%
Isaac Shelton 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Roberts a 60% favorite over Isaac Shelton in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Isaac Shelton's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1530), separated by just 1 points.

Isaac Shelton enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Isaac Shelton finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Roberts 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.