Isaac Thomson vs Joanderson Brito
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record19-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
69"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio
What's at stake
Joanderson Brito is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Isaac Thomson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1639
If they lose-9→ 1607
If they win+9→ 1781
If they lose-23→ 1749
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Isaac ThomsonJoanderson Brito
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joanderson Brito84%
Isaac Thomson 16%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Joanderson Brito a 84% favorite over Isaac Thomson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Joanderson Brito holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1772 to 1616, a 156-point edge.
Joanderson Brito enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Isaac Thomson finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Joanderson Brito 84%.
Joanderson Brito carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.