Isaac Thomson vs Junior Assuncao
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record16-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
69"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamAscension MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Isaac ThomsonJunior Assuncao
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Isaac Thomson58%
Junior Assuncao 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Isaac Thomson a 58% favorite over Junior Assuncao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1624), separated by just 0 points.
Junior Assuncao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Isaac Thomson finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Junior Assuncao 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.