Combat Edge Intelligence

Isaac Thomson vs Keisuke Sasu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record14-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
69"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamMaster Japan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Isaac ThomsonNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Keisuke SasuNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.76
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
62%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.88

Trajectory

Isaac ThomsonKeisuke Sasu
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
1 (11%)
Submission
4 (29%)
4 (44%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Isaac Thomson51%
Keisuke Sasu 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Isaac Thomson a 51% favorite over Keisuke Sasu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.

Keisuke Sasu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Isaac Thomson finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Keisuke Sasu 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.