Isaac Thomson vs Yuta Sasaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record24-10-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
69"Reach71,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
If they win+12→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Isaac ThomsonYuta Sasaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yuta Sasaki56%
Isaac Thomson 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yuta Sasaki a 56% favorite over Isaac Thomson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Isaac Thomson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1624), separated by just 0 points.
Isaac Thomson finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Yuta Sasaki 58%.
Yuta Sasaki carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.