Isaac Vallie-Flagg vs Jean Do Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-7-1Record9-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
159 lbsWeight156 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamHeioxo MMA Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Isaac Vallie-FlaggJean Do Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Isaac Vallie-Flagg56%
Jean Do Santos 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Isaac Vallie-Flagg a 56% favorite over Jean Do Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jean Do Santos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.
Jean Do Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Isaac Vallie-Flagg finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Jean Do Santos 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.