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Combat Edge Intelligence

Isaac Vallie-Flagg vs Jose Mendez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-7-1Record9-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
159 lbsWeight155 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamSpokane Valley BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Isaac Vallie-FlaggNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601
Jose MendezNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1476 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.56
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
48%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
45%
Strike defense
Not available
0.20
Takedown avg.
Not available
13%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
59%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Isaac Vallie-FlaggJose Mendez
155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
5 (31%)
Submission
7 (78%)
6 (38%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Isaac Vallie-Flagg58%
Jose Mendez 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Isaac Vallie-Flagg a 58% favorite over Jose Mendez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1613), separated by just 0 points.

Isaac Vallie-Flagg finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Jose Mendez 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.