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Combat Edge Intelligence

Isaac Vallie-Flagg vs Mohammad Fahmi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-7-1Record5-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
TBDReach72"
159 lbsWeight155 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamSpecial Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Isaac Vallie-FlaggNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601
Mohammad FahmiNow 1614
If they win+24→ 1638
If they lose-24→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.56
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
48%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
45%
Strike defense
Not available
0.20
Takedown avg.
Not available
13%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
59%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Isaac Vallie-FlaggMohammad Fahmi
155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
5 (31%)
Submission
4 (57%)
6 (38%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Mohammad Fahmi64%
Isaac Vallie-Flagg 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mohammad Fahmi a 64% favorite over Isaac Vallie-Flagg in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.

Isaac Vallie-Flagg finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Mohammad Fahmi 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.