Combat Edge Intelligence

Isaac Vallie-Flagg vs Yves Edwards

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Yves Edwards
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Yves Edwards

“Thugjitsu Master”

42-22-1LightweightUFC

1686Good

Tale of the tape

16-7-1Record42-22-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
159 lbsWeight155 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Yves Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Isaac Vallie-Flagg carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Isaac Vallie-FlaggNow 1627
If they win+19→ 1646
If they lose-13→ 1614
Yves EdwardsNow 1686
If they win+10→ 1696
If they lose-14→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.56
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
48%
Strike accuracy
43%
5.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.34
45%
Strike defense
67%
0.20
Takedown avg.
0.76
13%
Takedown accuracy
54%
59%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Isaac Vallie-FlaggYves Edwards
160016501700175020122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
17 (40%)
5 (31%)
Submission
16 (38%)
6 (38%)
Decision
9 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Isaac Vallie-Flagg and Yves Edwards within a point of even.

Yves Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1627, a 59-point edge.

Yves Edwards enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Isaac Vallie-Flagg finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Yves Edwards 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.