Isaiah Hill vs Italo Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-9-1Record0-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cung Le's Universal Strength HeadquartersTeam
What's at stake
Italo Diaz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Isaiah Hill carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1440
If they lose-15→ 1408
If they win+22→ 1474
If they lose-26→ 1426
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Isaiah HillItalo Diaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Italo Diaz61%
Isaiah Hill 39%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Italo Diaz a 61% favorite over Isaiah Hill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Italo Diaz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1452 to 1423, a 29-point edge.
Isaiah Hill enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Italo Diaz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Isaiah Hill finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.