Isaiah Hill vs Luan Duarte
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-9-1Record14-12-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cung Le's Universal Strength HeadquartersTeamTata Fight Team
What's at stake
Luan Duarte is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Isaiah Hill carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1441
If they lose-14→ 1409
If they win+14→ 1473
If they lose-18→ 1441
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Isaiah HillLuan Duarte
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Duarte75%
Isaiah Hill 25%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Duarte a 75% favorite over Isaiah Hill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Luan Duarte holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1459 to 1423, a 36-point edge.
Isaiah Hill enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luan Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Isaiah Hill finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Luan Duarte 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.