Isaiah Metituk vs Patrick Pereša
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-6-0Record8-8-0
BantamweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-Reach-
130 lbsWeight161 lbs
What's at stake
Isaiah Metituk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Patrick Pereša carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1458
If they lose-20→ 1426
If they win+29→ 1396
If they lose-19→ 1348
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Isaiah MetitukPatrick Pereša
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Isaiah Metituk64%
Patrick Pereša 36%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Isaiah Metituk a 64% favorite over Patrick Pereša in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Isaiah Metituk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1446 to 1367, a 79-point edge.
Isaiah Metituk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Patrick Pereša enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Isaiah Metituk finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Pereša 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.