Islam Dulatov vs Jack Hermansson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-1-0Record24-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Triple One GymTeamFrontline Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1738
If they lose-16→ 1706
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Islam DulatovJack Hermansson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Islam Dulatov60%
Jack Hermansson 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Islam Dulatov a 60% favorite over Jack Hermansson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1722 vs 1721), separated by just 1 points.
Islam Dulatov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Islam Dulatov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jack Hermansson 71%.
Jack Hermansson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.