Combat Edge Intelligence

Islam Dulatov vs Paul Daley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Daley
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Paul Daley

“Semtex”

43-18-2WelterweightBFC

1724Good

Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record43-18-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'9"
75"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Triple One GymTeamSpirit Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Islam DulatovNow 1724
If they win+16→ 1740
If they lose-16→ 1708
Paul DaleyNow 1724
If they win+12→ 1736
If they lose-12→ 1712

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

8.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.14
55%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.37
50%
Strike defense
60%
2.20
Takedown avg.
0.91
0%
Takedown accuracy
40%
100%
Takedown defense
65%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Islam DulatovPaul Daley
165017001750202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
35 (81%)
5 (42%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Islam Dulatov70%
Paul Daley 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Islam Dulatov a 70% favorite over Paul Daley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1724), separated by just 0 points.

Islam Dulatov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Islam Dulatov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paul Daley 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.