Islam Dulatov vs Rory MacDonald
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-1-0Record23-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
75"Reach76.00
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Triple One GymTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709
If they win+12→ 1737
If they lose-12→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1729 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Islam DulatovRory MacDonald
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rory MacDonald54%
Islam Dulatov 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rory MacDonald a 54% favorite over Islam Dulatov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Islam Dulatov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1725), separated by just 0 points.
Islam Dulatov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Rory MacDonald enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Islam Dulatov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rory MacDonald 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.