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Combat Edge Intelligence

Islam Geroev vs Jeff Bedard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jeff Bedard
us

Jeff Bedard

“Little Popeye”

13-3-0BantamweightNFC

1647Solid

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record13-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
TeamBedard's Elite Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Islam GeroevNow 1648
If they win+24→ 1672
If they lose-24→ 1624
Jeff BedardNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.80
Not available
Strike accuracy
52%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0
Not available
Strike defense
100%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.43
Not available
Takedown accuracy
67%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
2.57

Trajectory

Islam GeroevJeff Bedard
16001650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
2 (25%)
Submission
5 (38%)
4 (50%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Islam Geroev63%
Jeff Bedard 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Islam Geroev a 63% favorite over Jeff Bedard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1647), separated by just 1 points.

Islam Geroev finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jeff Bedard 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.