Islam Makhachev vs Jack Della Maddalena
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
29-1-0Record18-4-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
70"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Eagles MMA· 1817 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamScrappy MMA
What's at stake
Islam Makhachev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jack Della Maddalena carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1938
If they lose-17→ 1914
If they win+23→ 1800
If they lose-9→ 1768
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1796 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Islam MakhachevJack Della Maddalena
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Islam Makhachev92%
Jack Della Maddalena 8%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Islam Makhachev a 92% favorite over Jack Della Maddalena in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Islam Makhachev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1931 to 1777, a 154-point edge.
Islam Makhachev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jack Della Maddalena enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Islam Makhachev finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Jack Della Maddalena 78%.
Jack Della Maddalena carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.