Islam Matsuev vs Rafael Rebello
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record9-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
TeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Islam MatsuevRafael Rebello
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Islam Matsuev53%
Rafael Rebello 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Islam Matsuev a 53% favorite over Rafael Rebello in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1577), separated by just 0 points.
Islam Matsuev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Rafael Rebello enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Rafael Rebello 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.