Islam Youssef vs Kris Moutinho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record14-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
66"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1608
If they lose-24→ 1560
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Islam YoussefKris Moutinho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kris Moutinho56%
Islam Youssef 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kris Moutinho a 56% favorite over Islam Youssef in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Islam Youssef's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1584), separated by just 0 points.
Kris Moutinho enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Islam Youssef finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Kris Moutinho 64%.
Kris Moutinho carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.