Ismail Naurdiev vs Jordan Zébo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-8-0Record9-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
74"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight173 lbs
Top Team SalzburgTeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ismail NaurdievJordan Zébo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jordan Zébo60%
Ismail Naurdiev 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Zébo a 60% favorite over Ismail Naurdiev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ismail Naurdiev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1669), separated by just 0 points.
Jordan Zébo enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ismail Naurdiev finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Zébo 33%.
Ismail Naurdiev carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.