Ismail Naurdiev vs Matěj Peňáz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-8-0Record11-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
74"Reach83"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Top Team SalzburgTeamReinders MMA· 1606 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ismail NaurdievMatěj Peňáz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matěj Peňáz53%
Ismail Naurdiev 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matěj Peňáz a 53% favorite over Ismail Naurdiev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ismail Naurdiev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1680), separated by just 3 points.
Ismail Naurdiev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Matěj Peňáz enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ismail Naurdiev finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Matěj Peňáz 91%.
Matěj Peňáz carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.