Ismail Naurdiev vs Riki Fukuda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-8-0Record24-9-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Top Team SalzburgTeamGrabaka
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ismail NaurdievRiki Fukuda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ismail Naurdiev70%
Riki Fukuda 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ismail Naurdiev a 70% favorite over Riki Fukuda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Riki Fukuda's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1670), separated by just 1 points.
Ismail Naurdiev finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Riki Fukuda 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.