Ismail Naurdiev vs Siyar Bahadurzada
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-8-0Record24-8-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74"Reach72,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Top Team SalzburgTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Siyar Bahadurzada is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ismail Naurdiev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1677
If they lose-11→ 1653
If they win+11→ 1704
If they lose-13→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ismail NaurdievSiyar Bahadurzada
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ismail Naurdiev66%
Siyar Bahadurzada 34%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Ismail Naurdiev a 66% favorite over Siyar Bahadurzada in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Siyar Bahadurzada's way (46%).
Siyar Bahadurzada holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1664, a 29-point edge.
Siyar Bahadurzada enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ismail Naurdiev finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Siyar Bahadurzada 83%.
Ismail Naurdiev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.