Ismail Naurdiev vs Tom Breese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tom Breese
Elo1662GoodTale of the tape
25-8-0Record18-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
Top Team SalzburgTeamTeam Renegade
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
If they win+12→ 1674
If they lose-12→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ismail NaurdievTom Breese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ismail Naurdiev60%
Tom Breese 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ismail Naurdiev a 60% favorite over Tom Breese in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1662), separated by just 2 points.
Tom Breese enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ismail Naurdiev finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Tom Breese 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.