Ismail Naurdiev vs Tom Breese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-8-0Record21-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
74"Reach73.5"
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
Top Team SalzburgTeamTeam Renegade· 1737 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ismail NaurdievTom Breese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ismail Naurdiev64%
Tom Breese 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ismail Naurdiev a 64% favorite over Tom Breese in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1682), separated by just 1 points.
Ismail Naurdiev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ismail Naurdiev finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tom Breese 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.