Israel Adesanya vs Jason Jackson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-6-0Record20-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'1"
80"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight182 lbs
City KickboxingTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1773
If they lose-12→ 1749
If they win+12→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1743
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Israel AdesanyaJason Jackson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Jackson59%
Israel Adesanya 41%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Jackson a 59% favorite over Israel Adesanya in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Israel Adesanya's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1761 vs 1755), separated by just 6 points.
Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Israel Adesanya finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jason Jackson 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.