Combat Edge Intelligence

Israel Adesanya vs Joe Pyfer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Pyfer
us

Joe Pyfer

“Bodybagz”

16-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1763Great

Tale of the tape

24-6-0Record16-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'1"
80"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
City KickboxingTeamTeam Balance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Israel AdesanyaNow 1761
If they win+12→ 1773
If they lose-12→ 1749
Joe PyferNow 1763
If they win+16→ 1779
If they lose-16→ 1747

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.02
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
48%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
56%
Strike defense
54%
0.05
Takedown avg.
1.23
11%
Takedown accuracy
33%
77%
Takedown defense
50%
0.14
Submission avg.
1.02

Trajectory

Israel AdesanyaJoe Pyfer
1700175018001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (67%)
KO/TKO
10 (63%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (25%)
8 (33%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Pyfer66%
Israel Adesanya 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Pyfer a 66% favorite over Israel Adesanya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1761 vs 1763), separated by just 2 points.

Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Joe Pyfer enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Israel Adesanya finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Joe Pyfer 88%.

Israel Adesanya carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.