Combat Edge Intelligence

Israel Delgado vs Lucas Stark

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-3-0Record1-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"HeightTBD
UnknownReachTBD
155 lbsWeight153 lbs
Panther Muay ThaiTeamTBD

What's at stake

Israel Delgado is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Lucas Stark carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Israel DelgadoNow 1463
If they win+23→ 1486
If they lose-25→ 1438
Lucas StarkNow 1448
If they win+25→ 1473
If they lose-23→ 1425

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Israel DelgadoLucas Stark
14501500201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (50%)
Decision
1 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Israel Delgado and Lucas Stark within a point of even.

Israel Delgado holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1463 to 1448, a 15-point edge.

Israel Delgado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Lucas Stark enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Israel Delgado finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.