Combat Edge Intelligence

Israel Delgado vs Robert Densley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-3-0Record9-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
UnknownReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Panther Muay ThaiTeamAbsolute MMA

What's at stake

Israel Delgado is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Robert Densley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Israel DelgadoNow 1463
If they win+22→ 1485
If they lose-26→ 1437
Robert DensleyNow 1430
If they win+18→ 1448
If they lose-14→ 1416

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (56%)
2 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Israel Delgado52%
Robert Densley 48%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Israel Delgado a 52% favorite over Robert Densley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Israel Delgado holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1463 to 1430, a 33-point edge.

Israel Delgado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Robert Densley enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Israel Delgado finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Robert Densley 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.