Israel Delgado vs Sam Watford
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-3-0Record4-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
UnknownReach78,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Panther Muay ThaiTeamRenzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Israel Delgado is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Sam Watford carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1484
If they lose-27→ 1436
If they win+18→ 1439
If they lose-14→ 1407
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Israel DelgadoSam Watford
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Israel Delgado61%
Sam Watford 39%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Israel Delgado a 61% favorite over Sam Watford in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Israel Delgado holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1463 to 1421, a 42-point edge.
Israel Delgado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sam Watford enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Israel Delgado finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Sam Watford 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.