Combat Edge Intelligence

Israel Delgado vs Steve Lopez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-3-0Record13-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
UnknownReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Panther Muay ThaiTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

Israel Delgado is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Steve Lopez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Israel DelgadoNow 1463
If they win+21→ 1484
If they lose-27→ 1436
Steve LopezNow 1417
If they win+27→ 1444
If they lose-21→ 1396

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.39
TBD
Strike accuracy
24%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.69
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
38%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Israel DelgadoSteve Lopez
140014501500201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (23%)
2 (50%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Israel Delgado56%
Steve Lopez 44%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Israel Delgado a 56% favorite over Steve Lopez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Israel Delgado holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1463 to 1417, a 46-point edge.

Israel Delgado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Steve Lopez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Israel Delgado finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Steve Lopez 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.