Israel Delgado vs TJ O'Brien
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-3-0Record20-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'2"
UnknownReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Panther Muay ThaiTeamDes Moines Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1486
If they lose-25→ 1438
If they win+25→ 1480
If they lose-23→ 1432
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Israel DelgadoTJ O'Brien
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
TJ O'Brien56%
Israel Delgado 44%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes TJ O'Brien a 56% favorite over Israel Delgado in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Israel Delgado's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1463 vs 1455), separated by just 8 points.
Israel Delgado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
TJ O'Brien enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Israel Delgado finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, TJ O'Brien 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.