Issa Hosokawa vs Jesus Gutierrez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record8-9-0
LightweightDivisionFlyweight
5'11"Height5'5"
-Reach-
152 lbsWeight125 lbs
FreelanceTeamBonebreakers MMA
What's at stake
Jesus Gutierrez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Issa Hosokawa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1498
If they lose-23→ 1450
If they win+15→ 1503
If they lose-17→ 1471
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Issa HosokawaJesus Gutierrez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Issa Hosokawa76%
Jesus Gutierrez 24%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Issa Hosokawa a 76% favorite over Jesus Gutierrez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesus Gutierrez's way (48%).
Jesus Gutierrez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1488 to 1473, a 15-point edge.
Jesus Gutierrez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jesus Gutierrez 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.