Issa Hosokawa vs Marcelis Edwards
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record1-4-0
LightweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'4"
-Reach-
152 lbsWeight185 lbs
Freelance· 1581 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamGrundy Combat Sports
What's at stake
Issa Hosokawa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Marcelis Edwards carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1496
If they lose-26→ 1448
If they win+26→ 1478
If they lose-22→ 1430
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Issa HosokawaMarcelis Edwards
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Issa Hosokawa62%
Marcelis Edwards 38%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Issa Hosokawa a 62% favorite over Marcelis Edwards in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Issa Hosokawa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1474 to 1452, a 22-point edge.
Marcelis Edwards enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.