Combat Edge Intelligence

Issa Hosokawa vs Naoki Tanaka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record3-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
-Reach-
152 lbsWeight145 lbs
FreelanceTeamFighter's Flow

What's at stake

Naoki Tanaka is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Issa Hosokawa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Issa HosokawaNow 1473
If they win+29→ 1502
If they lose-19→ 1454
Naoki TanakaNow 1554
If they win+19→ 1573
If they lose-29→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Issa HosokawaNaoki Tanaka
1450150015502026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Naoki Tanaka88%
Issa Hosokawa 12%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Naoki Tanaka a 88% favorite over Issa Hosokawa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Naoki Tanaka holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1554 to 1473, a 81-point edge.

Naoki Tanaka enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Naoki Tanaka 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.