Combat Edge Intelligence

Issei Tamura vs Raphael Assunção

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-12-0Record28-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'5"
TBDReach66"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
IJCTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Raphael Assunção is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Issei Tamura carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Issei TamuraNow 1516
If they win+18→ 1534
If they lose-6→ 1510
Raphael AssunçãoNow 1707
If they win+6→ 1713
If they lose-18→ 1689

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1700 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.89
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
53%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
45%
Strike defense
67%
0.92
Takedown avg.
1.65
25%
Takedown accuracy
39%
33%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Issei TamuraRaphael Assunção
150016001700202120222023

Win method breakdown

5 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
10 (36%)
10 (67%)
Decision
14 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Raphael Assunção79%
Issei Tamura 21%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Raphael Assunção a 79% favorite over Issei Tamura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Raphael Assunção holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1516, a 191-point edge.

Issei Tamura enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Issei Tamura finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Assunção 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.