Combat Edge Intelligence

Issei Tamura vs TJ Dillashaw

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-12-0Record17-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
TBDReach67"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
IJCTeamThe Treigning Lab

What's at stake

TJ Dillashaw is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Issei Tamura carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Issei TamuraNow 1516
If they win+19→ 1535
If they lose-5→ 1511
TJ DillashawNow 1763
If they win+6→ 1769
If they lose-26→ 1737

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.89
Sig. strikes / min
5.09
53%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
45%
Strike defense
62%
0.92
Takedown avg.
1.56
25%
Takedown accuracy
31%
33%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
0.82

Trajectory

Issei TamuraTJ Dillashaw
150016001700180020212022

Win method breakdown

5 (33%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (18%)
10 (67%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

TJ Dillashaw83%
Issei Tamura 17%Elo baseline: 81%

The Combat Edge model makes TJ Dillashaw a 83% favorite over Issei Tamura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).

TJ Dillashaw holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1763 to 1516, a 247-point edge.

Issei Tamura enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Issei Tamura finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, TJ Dillashaw 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.