Issei Tamura vs TJ Dillashaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-12-0Record17-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
TBDReach67"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
IJCTeamThe Treigning Lab
What's at stake
TJ Dillashaw is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Issei Tamura carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1536
If they lose-6→ 1504
If they win+6→ 1766
If they lose-26→ 1734
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1754 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Issei TamuraTJ Dillashaw
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
TJ Dillashaw81%
Issei Tamura 19%Elo baseline: 81%
The Combat Edge model makes TJ Dillashaw a 81% favorite over Issei Tamura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).
TJ Dillashaw holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1760 to 1510, a 250-point edge.
Issei Tamura enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Issei Tamura finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, TJ Dillashaw 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.