Combat Edge Intelligence

Issei Tamura vs Victor Gabriel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-12-0Record8-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight125 lbs
IJCTeamTeam Furao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Issei TamuraNow 1527
If they win+12→ 1539
If they lose-12→ 1515
Victor GabrielNow 1526
If they win+16→ 1542
If they lose-16→ 1510

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.89
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
45%
Strike defense
TBD
0.92
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Issei TamuraVictor Gabriel
15001550202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
10 (67%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Victor Gabriel63%
Issei Tamura 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Victor Gabriel a 63% favorite over Issei Tamura in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Issei Tamura's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1526), separated by just 1 points.

Issei Tamura enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Issei Tamura finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Victor Gabriel 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.