Combat Edge Intelligence

Istela Nunes vs Jamie Moyle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-6-0Record4-4-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'1"
66"Reach35,0"
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team NunesTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Istela NunesNow 1501
If they win+16→ 1517
If they lose-16→ 1485
Jamie MoyleNow 1504
If they win+24→ 1528
If they lose-24→ 1480

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.02
Sig. strikes / min
4.51
46%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4
60%
Strike defense
66%
0
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
21%
50%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Istela NunesJamie Moyle
15001550201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (25%)
4 (67%)
Decision
3 (75%)

Combat Edge model read

Jamie Moyle52%
Istela Nunes 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jamie Moyle a 52% favorite over Istela Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1504), separated by just 3 points.

Istela Nunes enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Jamie Moyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Istela Nunes finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Moyle 25%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.